An Open Source AI Framework for Forecasting Armed Conflict. Abstract – Armed conflicts are increasing in frequency and severity worldwide, resulting in devastating humanitarian and economic consequences. Despite advances in conflict forecasting, leading academic early warning models often lack complete openness, limiting reproducibility and the potential for advancements in the field. Addressing this critical issue, this thesis presents an entirely open-source framework designed to reproduce and extend state-of-the-art earlyconflict forecasting ... Read more